The Paradox of the Mechanical Job Thief
Machines are not villains, they are the ultimate job multipliers.
The Paradox of the Mechanical Job Thief
Imagine a time traveler, let's call him Ned, who leaps into the future from the year 1750. The first thing he sees when he lands in a bustling 21st-century city is a factory, humming with smartphones and machinery. His eyes widen as he watches people seemingly speaking to themselves wearing headphones, gears spin, robotic arms weld, and outside cars drive their passengers without anyone at the wheel. He's horrified, convinced that every single machine is an unfeeling saboteur, snatching bread from the mouths of honest workers. Poor Ned, struck by what we might call the Curse of Machinery, immediately concludes that these miraculous innovations are the enemies of labor, a conclusion shared by many even today.
But Ned is wrong, as were many Luddites who threw wrenches (sometimes literally) into the gears of progress. The belief that machines destroy jobs has been shattered again and again, only to rise each time, phoenix-like, from the ashes. Let’s take a closer look at why this fear refuses to die, and why it deserves to.
Machines Aren’t Villains; They're Job Multipliers
One reason the fear of machines persists is that people often fail to see beyond immediate consequences. Imagine, for instance, a clothing manufacturer who installs a machine that can sew jackets at twice the speed of a human worker. Half the labor force is laid off, and the immediate reaction is to point a blaming finger at the machine. But what happens next? The machine itself had to be manufactured, and someone had to design it. Beyond that, now that the production cost has dropped, the manufacturer has extra profits, profits that can be used to expand operations, invest in new industries, or simply be spent on a new yacht. In all these cases, the money reenters the economy, and jobs are created elsewhere.
Historically, this has played out countless times. When Richard Arkwright invented his cotton-spinning machine in 1760, people screamed about job losses. And yet, within a few decades, employment in the English cotton industry rose from 7,900 workers to 320,000. The same story unfolded with automobiles, computers, and virtually every technological leap we’ve made. Yes, some jobs disappear, but new ones, sometimes whole new industries, spring up. Machines are not villains; they are, paradoxically, the ultimate job multipliers.
The Myth of Full Employment Bliss
There is also a pervasive misconception that full employment is the ultimate goal, regardless of what people are employed to do. But full employment, in the absence of productivity, is no virtue. If you wanted to maximize employment in the most inefficient way possible, you could ban all technology. We could all go back to farming with our hands, spinning our own yarn, and carting goods on our backs. In that world, we'd have full employment, and we'd also be exhausted, hungry, and barely scraping by. It turns out that “full employment” is easy to achieve if you don't care about progress or comfort.
Instead, machines give us the luxury of choosing how much we want to work. They let us do in hours what would have taken days, allowing us time for leisure, creativity, and exploration. When machines handle the drudgery, humans are freed to do the things machines cannot: dream, create, and innovate.
Jane Smith and the Short View Trap
The trouble is, while the big picture is generally rosy, the small picture can be heartbreaking. Let's not forget Jane Smith, the skilled worker who has just been replaced by an automated sewing machine. Jane has spent years honing her craft, only to see it rendered obsolete overnight. This is where the real tension lies, between the broader economic benefits of innovation and the immediate human cost of transition.
Jane Smith’s plight is real, and it’s important not to dismiss it. Economic progress often asks individuals to endure personal loss, to learn new skills or change careers. In the long run, economies expand, jobs evolve, and standards of living improve. But in the short run, individuals can suffer. It’s on us, as a society, to find ways to soften these blows, through education, retraining programs, or temporary safety nets. Successful examples include initiatives like Germany's vocational training programs, which partner with industries to provide workers with the skills needed for new roles, or Singapore's SkillsFuture program, which offers continuous learning credits to help citizens reskill and stay competitive in the evolving job market. Programs like these show that proactive investment in human capital can significantly ease the transition for displaced workers.
The lesson here is balance. We must keep both eyes open: one on Jane Smith and her immediate hardship, and one on Tom Jones, who just got a job designing the new sewing machine. Forgetting either means misunderstanding how progress works.
Machines: Humanity's Best Frenemy
The truth is, our relationship with machinery is complicated. Machines displace, yes, but they also create. They eliminate toil, but can cause turmoil in the process. Still, they’ve lifted billions from subsistence-level labor into economies where creativity, education, and health flourish. Machines give us medicine, make our homes warm, and allow us to travel the globe, luxuries our ancestors couldn’t even imagine.
The advent of artificial intelligence has brought similar fears to the white-collar world. Now, it's not just factory workers worried about losing their jobs, it's accountants, lawyers, writers, and even programmers. AI can analyze contracts, write code, draft reports, and diagnose illnesses faster than many professionals. But as with past technological revolutions, the story is more nuanced. While some tasks will indeed be automated, leading to significant displacement in certain sectors, AI also creates opportunities for more advanced work. The challenge lies in managing this transition effectively. Many workers may find it difficult to adapt to the rapid pace of technological change, especially those whose skills are highly specialized or narrowly focused. Accountants might spend less time crunching numbers and more time advising clients strategically. Writers might use AI tools to brainstorm ideas or enhance their research capabilities. However, adaptation is not always easy, and it requires robust support systems, such as reskilling programs and policies aimed at cushioning the impact of job loss. Just as factory workers adapted to the mechanized looms, white-collar workers must learn to work alongside AI, leveraging it to elevate their own productivity and creativity, but they will need the right tools and support to do so.
Ultimately, the Curse of Machinery is not a curse at all. It’s a challenge: to help those displaced adapt, to share the fruits of productivity gains equitably, and to ensure that the machines serve us, rather than the other way around. Ensuring equitable distribution means implementing policies such as progressive taxation, profit-sharing initiatives, and some form of universal basic income (UBI) to help bridge the gap between the gains enjoyed by capital owners and the rest of society. Such measures can help prevent widening income inequality and ensure that the benefits of increased productivity uplift all members of society, not just a select few.
In 1962 Vannevar Bush wrote of Automations Awkward Age about the same time robots were entering the factory, he said: “on an over-all basis, automation creates jobs.”
To fear machinery is to misunderstand its nature. To embrace it, with foresight, is to understand what it truly means to be human: we build tools, not just to survive, but to thrive.
Stay curious and become AI literate
Dr Colin W.P. Lewis